Favorable-Post
0xee0b0baf241fa49f1239d6f63a67a498b7606eeb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12AM ET
3146 shares @ 68.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
1548 shares @ 63.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-986.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5AM ET
1395 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
1064 shares @ 70.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-753.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
1046 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-313.80
- YES
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Beto O'Rourke be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Michael Swanson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12AM ET$12.23Jun 27, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2AM ET$10.15Jun 26, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12AM ET$16.39Jun 26, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1AM ET$10.31Jun 26, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12AM ET$10.27Jun 26, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?$2.33Jun 26, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11PM ET$15.38Jun 26, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11PM ET$10.24Jun 26, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$3.70Jun 26, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5AM ET$10.41Jun 25, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3AM ET$103.08Jun 25, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2AM ET$20.88Jun 25, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1AM ET$26.46Jun 25, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12AM ET$30.91Jun 25, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11PM ET$20.63Jun 25, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9PM ET$0.19Jun 25, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9PM ET$1.00Jun 25, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9PM ET$2.50Jun 25, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9PM ET$1.31Jun 25, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9PM ET$2.50Jun 25, 00:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $10.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 15:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 04:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.