Disguised-Frenzy
0xee0b767fa157ccdcd1fa9f3ada23e15907696811
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 21?
700 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,900 on October 14?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 28?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 28?
4 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 30?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 29?
3 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 28?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$193.39Jun 11, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$193.02Jun 11, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$192.58Jun 3, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$192.03Jun 2, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$192.19Jun 1, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$192.01May 31, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026?$192.38May 30, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026?$192.02May 29, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$191.57May 29, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$191.03May 28, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$191.19May 25, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$191.01May 25, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?$191.19May 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?$191.01May 19, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$191.19May 18, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$191.01May 17, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$191.01May 16, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$159.79May 16, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$159.16May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$159.01May 13, 07:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $141.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 03:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 07:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.