Dishonest-Onset
0xee0bcf86a719c9c1023906718034cca17498e6d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
99
Open notional
$388.96
Total PnL
$-631.3K
Realised
$-3.5K
Win rate
7%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- OVER
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5
5984 shares @ 43.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$388.96
$-2.2K
- IRAQ
Spread: France (-2.5)
66100 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-27.1K
- NO
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
64220 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.7K
- SPAIN
Spread: Spain (-3.5)
61216 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.9K
- NO
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?
56350 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-21.2K
- BELGIUM
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)
54390 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
- NO
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?
54250 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-29.3K
- NO
Uruguay leading at halftime?
54012 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-25.4K
- NO
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?
50345 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-12.9K
- NO
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?
46266 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.3K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$11.00Aug 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5$2.0KAug 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5$4.30Aug 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5$3.51Aug 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5$8.12Aug 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5$0.15Aug 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5$9.94Aug 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5$4.11Aug 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5$41.08Aug 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5$545.86Aug 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5$0.75Aug 17, 22:31 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.94Aug 17, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)$7.8KAug 17, 01:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$49.87Aug 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)$3.9KAug 16, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5$71.77Aug 16, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?$20.2KAug 16, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5$56.89Aug 16, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5$5.84Aug 16, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5$8.51Aug 16, 17:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
53/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 41 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
41 closed markets, 7% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 19:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.