Dishonest-Onset
0xee0bcf86a719c9c1023906718034cca17498e6d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-593.8K
Realised
$311.85
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- IRAQ
Spread: France (-2.5)
66100 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-27.1K
- NO
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
64220 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.7K
- SPAIN
Spread: Spain (-3.5)
61216 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.9K
- NO
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?
56350 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-21.2K
- BELGIUM
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)
54390 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
- NO
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?
54250 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-29.3K
- NO
Uruguay leading at halftime?
54012 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-25.4K
- NO
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?
50345 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-12.9K
- NO
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?
46266 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.3K
- OVER
Panama vs. England: O/U 4.5
45825 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-12.8K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$46.42Jul 3, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$22.00Jul 2, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5$965.87Jul 2, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$2.8KJul 2, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$6.75Jul 2, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$0.13Jul 2, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$0.65Jul 2, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$0.35Jul 2, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$0.35Jul 2, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$0.34Jul 2, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$0.18Jul 2, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$0.22Jul 2, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$23.31Jul 2, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$23.31Jul 2, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$666.00Jul 2, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$12.57Jul 2, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$12.57Jul 2, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$359.10Jul 2, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$12.57Jul 2, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$12.57Jul 2, 18:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score
$15.7K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $139.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 18:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.