Delightful-Conviction
0xee0d629debb9fb5f9e97bca5b106aa53de22d49c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$7.41
Total PnL
$-65.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Mohamed Salah: 1+ shots on target
6 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$5.91
$0.21
- YES
Omar Marmoush: 1+ shots on target
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$1.50
$-1.35
- YES
Santiago Giménez: 1+ goals
21 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.36
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?
15 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.45
- YES
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals
15 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?
15 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.45
- YES
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?
13 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.38
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?
12 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
8 shares @ 86.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.92
- YES
Jonathan David: 1+ goals
8 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMFrance to score first vs. Paraguay?$4.00Jul 4, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-04?$4.00Jul 4, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$6.00Jul 4, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$4.00Jul 4, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMCanada leading at halftime?$4.00Jul 4, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$3.18Jul 4, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada leading at halftime?$3.42Jul 4, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$3.28Jul 4, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance leading at halftime?$3.18Jul 4, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance to score first vs. Paraguay?$3.38Jul 4, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-04?$3.38Jul 4, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-07-03?$5.00Jul 4, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina to score first vs. Cabo Verde?$4.00Jul 4, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina leading at halftime?$5.00Jul 4, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina leading at halftime?$3.38Jul 3, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYOmar Marmoush: 1+ shots on target$2.85Jul 3, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-07-03?$3.48Jul 3, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$3.43Jul 3, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMohamed Salah: 1+ shots on target$2.85Jul 3, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$3.49Jul 3, 08:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 23:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 23:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.