Loyal-Accommodation
0xee1b99ba5d12d91f5792f8f92ad4a6e4c9725571
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
143
Open notional
$6.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-62.68
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 143- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
6 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$6.00
$0.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 23?
93 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-11.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 24?
67 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-16.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
65 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-23.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 24?
58 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-11.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
55 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-49.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
55 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-49.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
53 shares @ 94.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-49.92
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
42 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-29.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
40 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-16.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$5.83Aug 1, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$6.00Aug 1, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5.94Aug 1, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$6.00Jul 31, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.44Jul 31, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$6.00Jul 31, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.44Jul 31, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$6.00Jul 31, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.44Jul 31, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$6.00Jul 31, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$5.44Jul 31, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$6.00Jul 31, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.32Jul 31, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$6.00Jul 31, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.44Jul 31, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$6.00Jul 31, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.38Jul 31, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$6.00Jul 31, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$5.49Jul 31, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$8.82Jul 31, 14:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
25/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $6.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 17:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.