Happy-Go-Lucky-Appetite-Progression
0xee3d60daacc65d8330dcad6a2f073d471d466144
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-982.52
Realised
$-19.06
Win rate
0%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
36 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
18 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
17 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
15 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
14 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$5.00Aug 18, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$4.81Aug 18, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$5.00Aug 18, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$4.81Aug 18, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$5.58Aug 18, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$4.85Aug 18, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$5.45Aug 18, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$4.84Aug 18, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$5.33Aug 18, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$4.83Aug 18, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$5.45Aug 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$4.84Aug 18, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$6.00Aug 18, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$4.87Aug 18, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$9.23Aug 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$4.96Aug 18, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$5.00Aug 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$4.81Aug 17, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$4.92Aug 17, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$5.16Aug 17, 17:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
200 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $4.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 13:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 15:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.