Male-Racing-Tin
0xee4f73b4be8330d486e2eef31c9b124ae9f9a3fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$14.42
Total PnL
$-402.55
Realised
$-14.98
Win rate
0%
195 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 17?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$5.61
$0.61
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 17?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$4.85
$-0.15
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 17?
8 shares @ 51.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$3.96
$0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on July 4?
2070 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 4?
1025 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30?
571 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 30?
302 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 4?
203 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 4?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?
140 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 17?$5.00Aug 15, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 17?$5.00Aug 15, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?$55.38Aug 14, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 17?$3.88Aug 14, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?$42.90Aug 14, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?$5.00Aug 14, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?$5.00Aug 14, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?$1.28Aug 14, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?$2.22Aug 14, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?$5.00Aug 14, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?$0.20Aug 14, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?$4.80Aug 14, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?$4.19Aug 14, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?$3.72Aug 14, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?$3.45Aug 14, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?$1.21Aug 14, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?$5.00Aug 14, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?$5.00Aug 14, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?$5.00Aug 14, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?$1.75Aug 14, 12:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 195 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
195 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 05:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 00:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 195 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.