Pristine-Version
0xee63b5d7c63695ebe97a5e4f7ccb8e00c67a01fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-52.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 8?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
300 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 15?
199 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in October?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?
100 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.10
- NO
Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?
100 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
60 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.80
- PENGUINS
Rangers vs. Penguins
18 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-7.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$14.61Jul 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$14.60Jul 17, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 15?$4.01Jun 15, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 8-14?$85.09Jun 15, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 15?$4.00Jun 14, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 15?$1.05Jun 14, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 8-14?$85.01Jun 14, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$89.09Jun 5, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$89.00Jun 4, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$89.09May 30, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$89.00May 26, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$89.09May 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$89.01May 22, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$89.18May 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$89.01May 21, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$88.09May 10, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$88.01May 10, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$88.09May 10, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$88.00May 9, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$88.09May 9, 10:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $70.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 11:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.