Educated-Ash
0xee7a0894d83481c2bd4d79c93a80ef5e9469b68d
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$2.91
Total PnL
$-166.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
98 shares @ 16.3¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.91
$-13.14
- YES
Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?
425 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.01
- YES
Will France strike Iran by April 30?
295 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.49
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?
103 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 1?
21 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 1?
20 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on April 30?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 30?
17 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 1?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 1?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 2?$10.42May 4, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1?$10.00May 1, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 2?$5.13May 1, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$7.28May 1, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$7.24May 1, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 1?$5.13May 1, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 30?$0.00May 1, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 30?$0.11May 1, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 1?$5.13May 1, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$5.13May 1, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 30?$0.20Apr 30, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on April 30?$0.36Apr 30, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 1?$5.13Apr 30, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 1?$5.13Apr 30, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?$0.63Apr 30, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 1?$5.13Apr 30, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1?$5.13Apr 30, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on April 30?$10.88Apr 30, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$5.13Apr 30, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 30?$0.62Apr 30, 16:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 07:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 05:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.