Creative-Cartel-Constellation
0xee88f071673947d2f0c511d8ab0da395e11e49a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
145
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-53.10
Win rate
25%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 145- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?
2372 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 23?
281 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on June 24?
248 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 21?
158 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 24?
75 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
67 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?
66 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 2?
50 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.64
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on July 2?
45 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 4?
41 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$0.49Jul 15, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$1.16Jul 15, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.95Jul 15, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.11Jul 15, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$1.35Jul 15, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$1.19Jul 15, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.07Jul 15, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$2.63Jul 15, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$4.79Jul 15, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$2.55Jul 15, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.17Jul 15, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$3.16Jul 15, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.22Jul 15, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$3.04Jul 15, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$4.97Jul 15, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$0.71Jul 15, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$3.16Jul 15, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.06Jul 15, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$3.17Jul 15, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.17Jul 15, 00:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.