Improbable-Worm
0xee9021cbf6b20a6267f3cc043a9882c6582c38fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$13.77
Total PnL
$-74.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- MAXIM MRVA
Bratislava: Martin Krumich vs Maxim Mrva
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$4.44
$2.22
- GIANMARCO FERRARI
Cattolica: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Sergio Callejon
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$4.10
$1.97
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.88
$0.68
- NIKOLAS SANCHEZ IZQUIERDO
Lyon: Robin Bertrand vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.29
$0.17
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.06
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
174 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-26.76
- SEATTLE MARINERS
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners
25 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
14 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.84
- XINYU GAO
Huzhou: Polona Hercog vs Xinyu Gao
8 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.00Jun 9, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.06Jun 9, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.22Jun 9, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLyon: Robin Bertrand vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo$1.12Jun 9, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBratislava: Martin Krumich vs Maxim Mrva$2.25Jun 9, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCattolica: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Sergio Callejon$2.16Jun 9, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMBarcelona vs. Burgos$1.21Jun 9, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMCB Murcia vs. Basquet Girona$1.25Jun 9, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMShanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lions$3.64Jun 9, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMZhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Shenzhen Leopards$4.32Jun 9, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$10.00Jun 9, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBasket Zaragoza vs. Granada$1.11May 9, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarcelona vs. Burgos$1.05May 9, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCB Murcia vs. Basquet Girona$1.01May 9, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYShanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lions$2.03May 9, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYZhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Shenzhen Leopards$2.19May 9, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$9.90May 9, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels$6.25May 9, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMAtlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies$30.00May 9, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies$19.80May 2, 23:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 20:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 06:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.