Sophisticated-Productivity
0xee955c3c68a39a98c1d94f2c40a224f5b0a323f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?
139 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
James Cleverly next Conservative party leader?
130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Colorado Presidential Election?
120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Mercedes Racing win the 2024 F1 Constructor's Championship?
116 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: Other
104 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?
64 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
63 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will Athletic Bilbao win La Liga?
58 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?
45 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Colorado Presidential Election?$0.12Nov 5, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Bilbao win La Liga?$0.00Nov 3, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Bilbao win La Liga?$0.11Nov 3, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Cleverly next Conservative party leader?$0.13Nov 2, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes Racing win the 2024 F1 Constructor's Championship?$0.11Nov 1, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes Racing win the 2024 F1 Constructor's Championship?$0.00Nov 1, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?$0.14Oct 26, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?$0.13Oct 26, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.11Oct 25, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: Other$0.10Oct 20, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.13Oct 17, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?$0.12Oct 11, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUY4+ Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$0.08Oct 10, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$0.09Oct 10, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Virginia Presidential Election?$0.06Oct 10, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?$190.14Oct 10, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?$190.33Oct 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?$190.31Oct 10, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?$190.50Oct 10, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$190.58Oct 10, 14:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $78.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 13:48 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 11:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.