Clear-Interchange
0xee955c7abdda1b2649514ecd0326e83de9d387fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-178.10
Realised
$37.36
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 10% and 15%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 5% and 10%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?
975 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
951 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$20.54Jul 25, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$0.10Jul 25, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$0.53Jul 25, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$3.20Jul 25, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$2.24Jul 25, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$21.77Jul 25, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$0.25Jul 22, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$2.59Jul 22, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$11.24Jul 22, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$12.14Jul 22, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$0.30Jul 21, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$0.20Jul 21, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$0.10Jul 21, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$0.18Jul 21, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$0.05Jul 21, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$0.30Jul 21, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$0.20Jul 21, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$0.05Jul 21, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$0.83Jul 21, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$1.00Jul 21, 07:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 03:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 07:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.