0xee9e6fd73b3a2c10f715cb3486fb84e5caaaa64f
0xee9e6fd73b3a2c10f715cb3486fb84e5caaaa64f
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$363.17
Total PnL
$-4.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?
101 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$100.60
$0.60
- NO
Will Trump say "Friend" or "Ally" 7+ times during dinner with Dutch royals?
50 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$50.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
50 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$50.25
$0.25
- NO
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
50 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$50.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
39 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$39.08
$0.20
- NO
Will Randers FC win on 2026-04-12?
32 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$31.64
$6.64
- YES
Will Zcash reach $600 by December 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.51
$13.51
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$11.49
$1.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 13?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$10.00
$0.05
- FNATIC
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$1.10
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: fnatic vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner$1.09Apr 26, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League final?$5.00Apr 14, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$20.15Apr 14, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend" or "Ally" 7+ times during dinner with Dutch royals?$50.00Apr 14, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 13?$9.95Apr 14, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$29.85Apr 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?$21.59Apr 13, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?$5.58Apr 13, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?$38.88Apr 13, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$50.00Apr 13, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?$14.03Apr 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?$8.80Apr 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?$50.00Apr 12, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Randers FC win on 2026-04-12?$25.00Apr 12, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMRolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockx$7.39Apr 12, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$28.82Apr 12, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMKentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones$29.74Apr 12, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$69.54Apr 12, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash reach $600 by December 31, 2026?$4.26Apr 12, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash reach $600 by December 31, 2026?$0.74Apr 11, 23:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $24.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 10:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 04:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.