Inconsequential-Cheddar
0xeea269a067481b581e5c666834d7f01aacb3f26d
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$249.02
Total PnL
$-389.83
Realised
$15.30
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
100 shares @ 36.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$65.50
$29.50
- YES
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
50 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$49.97
$31.47
- YES
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assists
50 shares @ 37.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$49.77
$31.27
- YES
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$30.75
$0.75
- YES
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assists
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$29.55
$22.55
- NO
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 60.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$15.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?
66 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.30
$0.33
- YES
Will the announcers say "Powerade" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.22
$-2.27
- YES
Bradley Barcola: 2+ assists
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.50
$-4.50
- YES
Bradley Barcola: 1+ assists
50 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.27
$-14.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$15.50Jun 23, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$0.68Jun 23, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$1.80Jun 23, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$2.10Jun 23, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$2.10Jun 23, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$2.10Jun 23, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$1.15Jun 22, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$20.50Jun 22, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBradley Barcola: 2+ assists$0.01Jun 22, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$1.88Jun 22, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$0.75Jun 22, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$1.46Jun 22, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$0.98Jun 22, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBradley Barcola: 2+ assists$0.11Jun 22, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBradley Barcola: 2+ assists$0.30Jun 22, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBradley Barcola: 2+ assists$2.90Jun 22, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBradley Barcola: 2+ assists$1.10Jun 22, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBradley Barcola: 2+ assists$0.26Jun 22, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYOusmane Dembélé: 2+ assists$7.00Jun 22, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBradley Barcola: 2+ assists$0.26Jun 22, 21:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 03:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 00:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.