Polite-Relative
0xeea56ffe3c2fbcadfaf9472bb9486bfa544c25bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on January 26?
3090 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
1714 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-857.00
- UP
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on November 18?
1683 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-841.50
- UP
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on February 5?
19 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-11.40
- UP
FactSet Research Systems (FDS) Up or Down After Earnings?
16 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-8.16
- DOWN
Designer Brands (DBI) Up or Down After Earnings?
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-6.50
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.17Apr 21, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$11.25Apr 21, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on February 5?$17.00Apr 20, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on February 5?$11.40Feb 5, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on February 5?$9.86Feb 5, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2AM ET$2.7KJan 27, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$3.1KJan 27, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2AM ET$1.4KJan 27, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.8KJan 27, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMMeta (META) Up or Down on January 26?$3.2KJan 27, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on January 26?$1.2KJan 26, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on January 26?$1.9KJan 26, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFactSet Research Systems (FDS) Up or Down After Earnings?$8.16Dec 5, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYDesigner Brands (DBI) Up or Down After Earnings?$6.50Dec 5, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - November 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.7KNov 19, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$503.00Nov 19, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$166.00Nov 19, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$166.50Nov 19, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$857.00Nov 19, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMNYA (NYA) Up or Down on November 18?$1.7KNov 19, 02:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $694.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 05:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.