Graceful-Hardcover
0xeeb458b1f1ed1d5e85e97344e934301de20c521e
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
148
Open notional
$213.17
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-7.87
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 148- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
200 shares @ 6.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$200.00
$188.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
141 shares @ 7.1¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.17
$3.17
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
41261 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-89.95
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
11462 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-105.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
10500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
6625 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
5333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-29.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
5317 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-85.17
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
3000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-69.47
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?
1972 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-59.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?$12.00May 24, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$11.72May 24, 03:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $9.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".