Disloyal-Breeze
0xeeb49f1d0f71acb3ff80b39afcc0eac633f021c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$309.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-123.57
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will United States record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
209 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$209.00
$0.84
- YES
Will Norway record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
100 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$100.00
$0.20
- NO
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?
1000 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.87
- NO
Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?
967 shares @ 84.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-820.91
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
750 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will RFK end HPV vaccine recommendation in 2025?
700 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-156.01
- YES
Will AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
600 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-324.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
500 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-31.62
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
328 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-97.82
- NO
Will Walmart say "OpenAI" during earnings call?
300 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$99.80Feb 7, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$208.16Feb 7, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$19.00Feb 7, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk trillionaire in 2025?$10.00Feb 1, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple acquire Perplexity in 2025?$28.00Feb 1, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?$50.00Feb 1, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$100.00Feb 1, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$125.00Feb 1, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon register the America Party in 2025?$530.00Feb 1, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chewy say "Supplement" during earnings call?$25.00Dec 25, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$100.00Dec 25, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill one person dissent the December Fed decision?$10.00Dec 11, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill three people dissent the December Fed decision?$20.00Dec 11, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$324.00Dec 8, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chewy say "Supplement" during earnings call?$3.45Dec 6, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$161.68Dec 6, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$164.00Dec 1, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$261.00Dec 1, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during call with Service Members on November 27?$20.30Nov 27, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dell say "China" during earnings call?$10.00Nov 26, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $81.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 00:24 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 03:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.