Polite-Eyeball
0xeeb5229c7c7bdd97a24bc28f49beda38899c5618
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kai Cenat hit 1m subscribers during his subathon?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Solana ETF approved in 2024?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- MAPLE LEAFS
Maple Leafs vs. Panthers
10 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
6 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Israel military action against Iraq before December?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gladiator II gross less than $53m on opening weekend?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 28, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMBlue Jackets vs. Bruins$11.54Feb 27, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?$3.00Feb 26, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?$4.71Feb 26, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$4.00Feb 26, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaple Leafs vs. Panthers$4.00Feb 26, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue Jackets vs. Bruins$6.00Feb 26, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?$8.77Feb 26, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?$4.00Feb 25, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?$5.00Feb 25, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.00Feb 25, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.00Feb 25, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?$3.10Feb 25, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$10.00Feb 25, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$10.00Feb 25, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.05Feb 24, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.90Feb 24, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$9.59Feb 24, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,000 on November 22?$0.00Feb 23, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin above $0.37 on November 22?$0.00Feb 23, 21:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 08:03 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 10:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.