Defiant-Riverbed
0xeec0cb562bebb70346cdb47b390e5f369d902175
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.24
Total PnL
$-67.02
Realised
$-6.24
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July?
3143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.71
$-17.32
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in July?
266 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.27
$-4.73
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in July?
175 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.26
$-1.31
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 8-14?
1457 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12?
1270 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.08
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 8-14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of June 15 2026?
168 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.85
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 29-July 5?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,850 Week of July 6 2026?
67 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in July?$5.20Jul 17, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July?$4.68Jul 17, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in July?$1.63Jul 13, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?$1.60Jul 13, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?$2.93Jul 12, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July?$0.02Jul 11, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July?$0.03Jul 11, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of July 6 2026?$2.92Jul 10, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of July 6 2026?$16.55Jul 9, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July?$3.12Jul 9, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July?$5.20Jul 9, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July?$9.87Jul 8, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,850 Week of July 6 2026?$1.39Jul 8, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$1.32Jul 8, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$4.55Jul 6, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 29-July 5?$1.07Jul 5, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of June 29 2026?$0.25Jul 2, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of June 29 2026?$0.43Jul 2, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of June 29 2026?$6.14Jul 1, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?$3.71Jul 1, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 01:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 05:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.