Cautious-Marionberry
0xeed1db196590719d2cc732ad1aafbca7f1ce501f
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$13.79
Total PnL
$-273.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 81°F or below on May 6?
70 shares @ 2.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$2.80
$1.26
- YES
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.80
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on May 6?
36 shares @ 5.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$2.52
$0.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 6?
50 shares @ 2.1¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 6, 2026$1.57
$0.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 6?
20 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.7¢·exp May 6, 2026$1.13
$-0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 5?
100 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.90
$-0.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 78°F or higher on May 5?
100 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.75
$-0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 78°F or higher on May 5?
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.60
$0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 5?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 68°F or higher on May 5?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.20
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 81°F or below on May 6?$1.107m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 6?$1.404h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 81°F or below on May 6?$0.444h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on May 6?$0.675h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on May 6?$0.335h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on May 6?$0.845h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 6?$1.055h ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$10.005h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$2.736h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.476h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$0.576h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$3.636h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.367h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.777h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$2.077h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 5?$0.1013h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$0.0814h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$0.5814h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$0.4714h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.6614h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 7m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".