Sudden-Caftan
0xeed3ade7234b821a9aae80b133d729ccac2d793e
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$22.49
Total PnL
$-95.98
Realised
$0.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$10.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
10 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$5.60
- YES
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.17
$0.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10PM ET
422 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
229 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-14.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
62 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
57 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$4.40Jan 16, 14:51 UTC
- MERGEWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 16, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$4.40Jan 16, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$5.70Jan 16, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Jan 10, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 10, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?$2.00Jan 10, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$5.00Jan 7, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$10.00Jan 7, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$2.00Jan 7, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$19.05Jan 7, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$2.00Jan 7, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$7.00Jan 7, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$5.00Jan 7, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$5.00Jan 7, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Jan 7, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$14.52Jan 7, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$5.00Jan 7, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$5.00Jan 7, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.00Jan 7, 04:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $6.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 14:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".