Honored-Implication
0xeed67c64c0536a8a2c23c37e8ec4db46a0f69314
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.5K
Realised
$-8.5K
Win rate
1%
192 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10AM ET
1341 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4AM ET
1163 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-297.31
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on March 18?
1000 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-263.68
- NORTH CAROLINA STATE WOLFPACK
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliers
1000 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-263.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9AM ET
800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET
663 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
661 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-228.42
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 31?
645 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$25.50Aug 4, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$7.28Aug 4, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9AM ET$0.86Aug 4, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$59.46Aug 4, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$22.97Aug 4, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$68.56Aug 4, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$46.72Aug 4, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$9.54Aug 4, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$46.79Aug 4, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$62.96Aug 4, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$20.45Aug 4, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$4.25Aug 4, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$26.06Aug 4, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$50.73Aug 4, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$25.19Aug 4, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$3.20Aug 4, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.06Aug 4, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$10.50Aug 4, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$9.35Aug 4, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$26.08Aug 4, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 192 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
192 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $18.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 23:18 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 15:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 192 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.