Bad-Fool-Enrollment
0xeed7c2e6c4e998fd50098b66144ee8dff01d16b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$92.9K
Total PnL
$20.9K
Realised
$25.7K
Win rate
64%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
36485 shares @ 78.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$31.2K
$2.7K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
25696 shares @ 87.4¢·now 98.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$25.2K
$2.8K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
41994 shares @ 48.3¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.9K
$2.6K
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
12000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 86.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.4K
$4.4K
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
12000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 13.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.6K
$-4.4K
- NO
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
1176 shares @ 79.9¢·now 84.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$987.84
$48.16
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?
946 shares @ 64.4¢·now 62.5¢·exp Sep 11, 2026$591.34
$-18.14
- YES
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
123 shares @ 20.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Sep 4, 2026$33.75
$9.22
- NO
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
10943 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.2¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$21.89
$-3.3K
- YES
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?
28 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Sep 4, 2026$0.15
$-0.34
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$583.70Aug 14, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$635.04Aug 14, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$151.94Aug 14, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?$137.76Aug 14, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?$328.00Aug 14, 02:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.71Aug 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?$468.00Aug 13, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.4% in August?$87.59Aug 13, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.4% in August?$526.87Aug 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.4% in August?$5.86Aug 13, 12:03 UTC
- SPLITWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$12.0KAug 13, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$23.92Aug 13, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$1.58Aug 13, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?$5.92Aug 13, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.4KAug 12, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$11.7KAug 12, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.5KAug 12, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$129.24Aug 12, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.54Aug 12, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$0.04Aug 12, 18:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $471.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 08:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.