Enchanting-Boat
0xeee9d0cedb2b8d59069d76d9f39bf58c383df66f
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$744.06
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$45.86
Win rate
66%
96 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 29?
120 shares @ 77.3¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$100.80
$8.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 29?
88 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$88.30
$22.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 29?
51 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$51.41
$12.83
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 29?
45 shares @ 33.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$45.23
$29.84
- NO
Will Kaela Berg be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?
50 shares @ 89.8¢·now 81.8¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$40.87
$-4.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 29?
51 shares @ 72.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$35.59
$-1.29
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 29?
40 shares @ 62.5¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$34.80
$9.80
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 31?
40 shares @ 64.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$19.59
$-6.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 29?
36 shares @ 27.9¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$18.23
$8.14
- YES
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1093 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$16.94
$9.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?$1.01Jul 29, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C or below on July 31?$5.60Jul 29, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 31?$12.40Jul 29, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 31?$0.89Jul 29, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 31?$6.12Jul 29, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 31?$2.43Jul 29, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 31?$1.89Jul 29, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 31?$3.66Jul 29, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 31?$5.16Jul 29, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 31?$2.48Jul 29, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 28?$20.00Jul 29, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 29?$2.57Jul 29, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 29?$14.40Jul 29, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 29?$2.57Jul 29, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 29?$14.40Jul 29, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 29?$2.93Jul 29, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 28?$90.00Jul 29, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 31?$6.09Jul 29, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 31?$8.60Jul 29, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 31?$12.20Jul 29, 07:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
66% win rate over 96 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
96 closed markets, 66% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $6.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 03:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 10:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 96 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.