Early-Noon
0xeeeb135a9500a3c2be121fa0b59ca920e437abbf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-80.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Everton wins the Premier League?
1400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
1060 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Will Jonathan Jaffe win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- KINGS
Panthers vs. Kings
43 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- RANGERS
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs
36 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-15.63
- TIGERS
Tigers vs. Red Sox
31 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- CUBS
Cubs vs. Blue Jays
14 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-6.96
- MARLINS
Marlins vs. Guardians
13 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.54
- BRAVES
Braves vs. Reds
10 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.10
- RAIDERS
Chargers vs. Raiders
8 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$149.80Jun 24, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?$189.75Jun 24, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?$499.35Jun 24, 02:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 24, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?$190.05Jun 23, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?$500.12Jun 23, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$150.04Jun 23, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$159.79Jun 23, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$179.76Jun 23, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$499.35Jun 23, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$160.04Jun 23, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$500.12Jun 23, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$180.04Jun 23, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$169.81Jun 23, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$279.69Jun 23, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$399.56Jun 23, 11:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$170.01Jun 22, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$400.02Jun 22, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$280.02Jun 22, 20:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $243.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 26, 12:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 02:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.