0xeefaf8624450af4e516478a5756aad3b11ec7a5a
0xeefaf8624450af4e516478a5756aad3b11ec7a5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.75
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-279.36
Win rate
1%
69 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
17 shares @ 24.1¢·now 20.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.21
$-0.79
- CAVALIERS
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
90 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- 76ERS
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers
44 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Liberty (-13.5)$2.04Jun 25, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Liberty (-11.5)$2.05Jun 25, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5$2.05Jun 25, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMMallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Nuno Borges$3.17Jun 25, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon, Qualification ATP: Colton Smith vs Michael Zheng$3.45Jun 25, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMLexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo$3.92Jun 25, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo$2.05Jun 25, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins$1.59Jun 25, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMAthletics vs. San Francisco Giants$2.08Jun 25, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$3.70Jun 25, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMAtlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres$14.58Jun 25, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Nuno Borges$2.04Jun 25, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Anastasia Gasanova$2.05Jun 25, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo$2.05Jun 25, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Dusan Lajovic$2.05Jun 25, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.06Jun 25, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon, Qualification WTA: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Bianca Andreescu$2.05Jun 25, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon, Qualification ATP: Clement Tabur vs Shintaro Mochizuki$2.05Jun 25, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon, Qualification WTA: Maria Timofeeva vs Heather Watson$2.05Jun 25, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon, Qualification ATP: Colton Smith vs Michael Zheng$2.05Jun 25, 06:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 69 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
69 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 23:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 18:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 69 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.