Personal-Fight
0xef00a5e1f824ffdbd9aa9be3eda5364f785e09cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-55.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
43 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- VERSTAPPEN
F1 Belgian GP: Leclerc vs. Verstappen
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Cabo Verde to score first vs. Spain?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- OVER
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 2.5
5 shares @ 66.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will North Macedonia win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.35Jul 2, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Ghana: England O/U 2.5$3.03Jun 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCabo Verde to score first vs. Spain?$1.03Jun 15, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMNetherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$9.26Jun 14, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 14, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.03Jun 14, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$3.85Jun 14, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1.02Jun 13, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$7.25Jun 12, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 9, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 9, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$5.07Jun 8, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$5.03Jun 8, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$5.05Jun 8, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$6.67May 29, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$3.00Oct 10, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$26.10Sep 13, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by September 15?$1.00Sep 8, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Macedonia win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Sep 8, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2025-09-08?$1.00Sep 8, 07:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $6.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 20:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 04:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.