Dual-Seller
0xef0c96e5ef2230084dbfc937ffb49d86899ee87e
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$13.04
Total PnL
$-5.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.90
$0.00
- NO
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.88
$-0.02
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.81
$0.01
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 96.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.76
$-0.04
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.60
$0.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.10
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in November 2025?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in November 2025?
254 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?$1.10Jul 22, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.60Jul 22, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$1.10Jul 21, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?$1.80Jul 21, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$1.90Jul 21, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?$1.80Jul 20, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?$1.80Jul 20, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$2.00Jul 4, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$38.43Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.30Jun 30, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $390 in June?$4.02Jun 30, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$38.21Jun 29, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $390 in June?$4.00Jun 27, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.30Jun 27, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?$3.02Jun 1, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?$1.00Jun 1, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $600 in May?$3.01Jun 1, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.01Jun 1, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$20.64Jun 1, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$4.02May 31, 23:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $5.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 06:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.