Stable-Urgency
0xef0da8c3a541cce5f0fd3db1aaca9de14bcc69bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$113.13
Total PnL
$-51.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-26?$110.38Jun 26, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $2.60 in May?$110.11Jun 26, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.60 in May?$110.01May 22, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.00 in April?$109.65May 22, 18:42 UTC
- REWARD$0.36Apr 24, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.31Apr 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in April?$109.45Apr 22, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close above $0.00 end of March?$109.41Apr 22, 12:37 UTC
- REWARD$0.23Mar 14, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$0.38Mar 14, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$0.23Mar 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close above $0.00 end of March?$109.30Mar 12, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?$17.20Mar 12, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple reach $316 in February?$24.74Mar 12, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of February?$25.79Mar 12, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix reach $455 in February?$43.21Mar 12, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix reach $455 in February?$43.17Feb 21, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple reach $316 in February?$24.69Feb 21, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of February?$12.14Feb 21, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of February?$13.61Feb 21, 19:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $41.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 20:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 20:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.