Vain-Hatchet
0xef121a21e6080d203a492ceac4c48709c1798e61
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$490.13
Total PnL
$-291.82
Realised
$-18.73
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?
490 shares @ 89.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$490.13
$50.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on February 8?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -3°C on February 8?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or below on November 21?
2250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on November 20?
1199 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-4.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30?
828 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-24.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 33°F or below on February 13?
800 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on February 1?
780 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 33°F or below on February 12?
699 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 15°F or below on February 8?
479 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.79
Recent activity
- REWARD$3.84May 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?$93.57May 1, 17:29 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$4.07May 1, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?$4.99May 1, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?$1.34May 1, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?$95.00May 1, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$39.48May 1, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$12.46May 1, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$27.88May 1, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$111.77May 1, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$9.94May 1, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 8?$0.34May 1, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?$35.76May 1, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 30?$242.00May 1, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$39.02May 1, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$52.40May 1, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?$6.02May 1, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$26.74May 1, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$73.21May 1, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$27.23May 1, 14:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $34.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 15:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".