Limited-Canal-Mixture
0xef159e5c96e0653f9ec59ce8999959cb61009840
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$56.96
Total PnL
$-37.79
Realised
$-2.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?
169 shares @ 30.8¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$26.22
$-25.85
- NO
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?
22 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$13.15
$-0.11
- YES
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?
35 shares @ 42.6¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.20
$-3.70
- YES
Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.9M in June?
14 shares @ 55.2¢·now 24.9¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$3.59
$-4.36
- YES
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in June?
14 shares @ 26.6¢·now 20.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.80
$-0.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?$13.52Jul 12, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?$8.09Jul 12, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Jul 12, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Jul 12, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$0.89Jul 12, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$12.61Jul 12, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$46.38Jul 12, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$8.62Jul 12, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$14.02Jul 12, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$12.93Jul 12, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by August 31?$7.05Jul 12, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?$7.99Jul 12, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$7.50Jul 12, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?$8.00Jul 12, 00:53 UTC
- REWARD$2.11Jul 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?$7.92Jul 11, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?$6.54Jul 11, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?$7.60Jul 11, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?$7.11Jul 11, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?$6.76Jul 11, 23:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $7.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 03:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.