Worrisome-Emergent-Coat
0xef18c69007321a0fe3c7c6db3ff4e989ae904ff4
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$13.50
Total PnL
$-20.90
Realised
$-0.40
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- FAJING SUN
Astana: Fajing Sun vs Zangar Nurlanuly
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 90.2¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- OVER
CA Talleres vs. CA Lanús: O/U 2.5
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- BOSTON RED SOX
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Exact Score: CA Boca Juniors 3 - 1 Recoleta FC?
1 shares @ 93.4¢·now 92.9¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NEW YORK METS
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- HELIOEVAARA/PATTEN
National Bank Open (Doubles): Helioevaara/Patten vs Cerundolo/Etcheverry
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- MAXIM ZHUKOV
Astana: Sergey Fomin vs Maxim Zhukov
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- BELINDA BENCIC
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: CA Talleres 1 - 1 CA Lanús?$1.04Aug 11, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYAstana: Sergey Fomin vs Maxim Zhukov$1.03Aug 11, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)$1.02Aug 11, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLAstana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa$1.24Aug 11, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)$1.01Aug 11, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLAstana: Aziz Ouakaa vs Jie Cui$1.32Aug 11, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAstana: San-Hui Shin vs Erik Arutiunian$1.03Aug 11, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYAstana: Aziz Ouakaa vs Jie Cui$1.02Aug 11, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Talleres vs. CA Lanús: O/U 2.5$1.03Aug 11, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: CA Boca Juniors 3 - 1 Recoleta FC?$1.00Aug 11, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTodi: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Juan Bautista Torres$1.02Aug 11, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAstana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa$1.02Aug 11, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNational Bank Open (Doubles): Helioevaara/Patten vs Cerundolo/Etcheverry$1.01Aug 11, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMNational Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek$1.37Aug 11, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: IK Sirius 2 - 0 IF Brommapojkarna?$1.09Aug 10, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Djurgardens IF win on 2026-08-10?$1.39Aug 10, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMIK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: Both Teams to Score$1.67Aug 10, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Akhmat Groznyi win on 2026-08-10?$2.72Aug 10, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill IF Brommapojkarna win on 2026-08-10?$1.46Aug 10, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jong AZ Alkmaar win on 2026-08-10?$1.02Aug 10, 17:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.