Inconsequential-Subexpression
0xef1bc81debb7700b6ad740b088a1aff8382bfe00
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$112.82
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
200 shares @ 16.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$101.00
$69.00
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
50 shares @ 24.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.75
$-8.25
- YES
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
50 shares @ 15.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.77
$-4.72
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
50 shares @ 19.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.17
$-7.33
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
20 shares @ 37.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.90
$-5.50
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
40 shares @ 18.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$-5.98
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
2600 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
2078 shares @ 68.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
1817 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-424.31
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28Jul 5, 21:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jun 25, 00:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $89.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 01:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.