0xef1fb0381a62fa6b6d450a4d7cfe039a03f724f8
0xef1fb0381a62fa6b6d450a4d7cfe039a03f724f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
374 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.37
- YES
Will Republicans control 224 seats in the House after the election?
360 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-0.72
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
351 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.35
- YES
Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
222 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.22
- YES
Will Wolves vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?
76 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 5-6%?$0.28Dec 13, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$0.15Dec 12, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy?$0.09Dec 9, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy?$0.09Dec 7, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 224 seats in the House after the election?$0.72Dec 3, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 1-2%?$0.28Dec 3, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?$0.08Nov 30, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$0.15Nov 30, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 5-6%?$0.28Nov 30, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 1-2%?$0.28Nov 29, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.37Oct 18, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden wins the Popular Vote?$0.19Oct 18, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.22Oct 6, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$0.31Sep 30, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.33Sep 27, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$0.31Sep 27, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.19Sep 26, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$0.12Sep 17, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$0.12Sep 14, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.35Sep 14, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $0.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 14, 15:25 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 13, 11:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".