Spherical-Status
0xef217949bc18fa6c9c062bc95e24176a4514b4a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$22.22
Total PnL
$1.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
4 shares @ 93.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.13
$0.13
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
2 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.12
$0.12
- YES
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)
1 shares @ 90.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
1 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?
1 shares @ 93.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$1.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.00Jan 12, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.00Jan 12, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$1.00Jan 12, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$1.00Jan 12, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$1.00Jan 12, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 23m?$1.00Jan 12, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.00Jan 12, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$1.00Jan 12, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 12, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17?$1.00Jan 12, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.00Jan 12, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$1.00Jan 4, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 4, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?$1.00Jan 4, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$1.02Jan 4, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$2.19Jan 4, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.20Jan 4, 12:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 07:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 03:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".