Low-Legislation
0xef2441a1cb51c2db86209b51d5496c9c45a66901
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
3600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
3500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
3500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2660 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
2360 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2310 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2290 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
2260 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.26Mar 26, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.23Mar 26, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.77Mar 26, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$7.00Mar 26, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$40.00Mar 26, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$70.00Mar 26, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$6.94Feb 2, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.04Feb 2, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 10, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.95Jan 10, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$4.73Jan 10, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$14.72Jan 10, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$31.93Jan 10, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$37.92Jan 10, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$9.18Jan 10, 02:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $397.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 03:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.