Villainous-Astronomy-Scallion
0xef262300596374d68238b87f0008bb0f5b5bccff
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-408.37
Win rate
47%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
5943 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-649.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
1037 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
348 shares @ 68.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-240.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
307 shares @ 87.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-270.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
296 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
283 shares @ 70.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
182 shares @ 55.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
166 shares @ 63.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
127 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$0.00Jul 25, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$3.01Jul 25, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$3.01Jul 25, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$3.01Jul 25, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$3.03Jul 25, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$3.02Jul 25, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$6.13Jul 25, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$3.03Jul 25, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$3.03Jul 25, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$6.15Jul 25, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$3.03Jul 25, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$3.03Jul 25, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$3.56Jul 24, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$3.07Jul 24, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.00Jul 24, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$3.13Jul 24, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$3.01Jul 24, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$12.92Jul 24, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$3.07Jul 24, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$3.02Jul 24, 20:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 19:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 01:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.