Punctual-Cucumber
0xef2b666724655736e6f64ac1b83debda6a2ab2ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-603.41
Realised
$-3.96
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 14?
708 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 16?
707 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-76.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 14?
651 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 16?
316 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-168.89
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 13?
272 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 17?
181 shares @ 83.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-151.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or higher on March 15?
166 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 14?
102 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 16?
100 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 53°F or below on March 15?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?$256.25Mar 23, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 18?$200.00Mar 18, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?$100.00Mar 18, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 18?$48.00Mar 18, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?$100.00Mar 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?$63.00Mar 17, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?$75.00Mar 17, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 17?$100.00Mar 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 17?$100.00Mar 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 18?$64.27Mar 17, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 18?$1.00Mar 17, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 18?$14.96Mar 17, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 18?$0.22Mar 17, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 18?$0.10Mar 17, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 18?$3.62Mar 17, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 18?$8.13Mar 17, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 18?$6.80Mar 17, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 18?$1.32Mar 17, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 18?$10.16Mar 17, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 18?$20.97Mar 17, 08:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $16.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 11:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 21:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.