Reflecting-Mystery
0xef34dd1cec9c95ca296e8b4799573c9f827342ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.30
Total PnL
$-102.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.30
$-0.70
- NO
Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
1190 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.65
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
399 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- TEAM SPIRIT
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. Team Spirit
93 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-40.93
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
70 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- WILDCARD
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Wildcard
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Team Tidebound win The International 2025 Tournament?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- BOOM ESPORTS
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs. BOOM Esports
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- AURORA
Dota 2: Aurora vs. Nigma Galaxy
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?$0.40Dec 11, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?$1.00Nov 15, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Nov 15, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$5.00Nov 15, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.00Oct 23, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?$2.00Oct 23, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs. Team Spirit$11.61Sep 7, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Liquid vs. Tundra Esports$11.61Sep 7, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs. Team Spirit$14.32Sep 7, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs. Wildcard$2.00Sep 7, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs. Team Spirit$5.00Sep 7, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Aurora vs. Nigma Galaxy$10.00Sep 7, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs. Tundra Esports$5.00Sep 7, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs. Team Spirit$10.00Sep 7, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?$1.00Sep 6, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Tidebound win The International 2025 Tournament?$3.00Sep 5, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Spirit vs. Tundra Esports$10.20Sep 5, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: NAVI vs. BB$5.00Sep 5, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs. Tundra Esports$5.00Sep 5, 09:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $29.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 11:48 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 01:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.