Rich-Eavesdropper
0xef39c62808d29e590b0497968e5f61089c4e423b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 September 15-21?
330 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-29.70
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?
200 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $112,000 October 20-26?
160 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-72.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4300 on August 22?
160 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-92.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 17?
150 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-79.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 5?
142 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-34.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 December 15-21?
140 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-63.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?
125 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-68.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?
110 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-60.50
- YES
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 30?
110 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-71.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 3?$110.00Jul 3, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 3?$56.10Jul 3, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 22-28?$70.00Jun 29, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 22-28?$54.60Jun 24, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 15-21?$89.91Jun 17, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 15-21?$62.94Jun 17, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13?$70.00Jun 13, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13?$56.78Jun 13, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?$70.00Jun 8, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?$56.70Jun 4, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 25-31?$89.42Jun 1, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 25-31?$62.59May 26, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?$30.44May 21, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?$80.00May 11, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?$59.20May 5, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?$80.00May 4, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?$61.85Apr 29, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?$97.55Apr 27, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?$66.00Apr 21, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 13-19?$78.16Apr 19, 10:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $45.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 11:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 17:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.