0xef3bb3190f9237369ae3327b59ce971f8d89dcea
0xef3bb3190f9237369ae3327b59ce971f8d89dcea
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$21.94
Total PnL
$-2.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 24?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$6.66
$5.66
- NO
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.18
$0.19
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.05
$0.07
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.05
$0.06
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 18?
18 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.88
- YES
Will "Nuremberg" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
9 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 on March 13?
8 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on March 13?
8 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.37
- YES
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
7 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Nuremberg" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$0.75Mar 24, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$0.62Mar 24, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$0.38Mar 24, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or higher on March 24?$0.01Mar 24, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 24?$0.95Mar 24, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 24?$0.04Mar 22, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by March 31, 2026?$4.99Mar 20, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$4.99Mar 19, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?$4.98Mar 19, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18?$2.00Mar 18, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?$1.02Mar 17, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?$0.86Mar 17, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $310 on March 13?$1.17Mar 12, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on March 13?$0.37Mar 12, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 18?$0.88Mar 12, 15:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 15:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 22:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".