Orange-Cabinet
0xef4590ca7853b814969024043492752d7906e795
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$150.00
Total PnL
$-44.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
150 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$150.00
$0.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
414 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.42
- YES
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open?
320 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$0.00
$-8.96
- YES
Will Trump meet Pope Leo XIV before August?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
220 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-13.20
- YES
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?
203 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
161 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.72
- YES
Will India win Intervision 2025?
106 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?
64 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey strike Iran by April 30?$1.02Apr 23, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$129.61Apr 23, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$129.87Apr 23, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by April 30?$109.23Apr 23, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$109.34Apr 23, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?$109.01Apr 23, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?$109.34Apr 23, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?$12.00Apr 6, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.32 in March?$139.58Mar 28, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.32 in March?$139.86Mar 28, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$2.72Mar 24, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$129.61Mar 24, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$129.74Mar 24, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$149.10Mar 23, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$180.00Feb 15, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$3.42Dec 20, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$13.20Dec 5, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$179.82Nov 24, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $2.90 November 10-16?$180.00Nov 23, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.90 November 10-16?$179.82Nov 15, 19:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $72.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 08:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".