Puny-Tooth
0xef47003f04b7827efdc6d514ce268d2701dd9aeb
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$12.4K
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$-1.8K
Win rate
0%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
9102 shares @ 43.9¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.9K
$1.9K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
7242 shares @ 55.2¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.7K
$1.7K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
1786 shares @ 28.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$830.36
$330.36
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
8044 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?
5521 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 18?
3616 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?
1553 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
1369 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?
1250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
1179 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-121.27
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.08Aug 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.07Aug 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.07Aug 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.09Aug 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.09Aug 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.08Aug 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.10Aug 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.09Aug 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.10Aug 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.11Aug 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.09Aug 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.08Aug 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.06Aug 5, 02:30 UTC
- YIELD$1.07Aug 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.08Aug 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Aug 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.08Aug 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.08Jul 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.06Jul 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.07Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 34 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
34 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.