Idealistic-Screwdriver
0xef48be8b35c81be6323b3316bd9cca3f0250ef15
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-41.6K
Realised
$-2.4K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
122907 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.1K
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
43049 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.0K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
37555 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
28074 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
27308 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
14443 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
10834 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
8583 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.4K
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
6686 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
6260 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$805.99Feb 23, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$750.00Feb 23, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.6KFeb 23, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$999.54Feb 23, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$636.00Feb 23, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.6KFeb 23, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$605.32Feb 23, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$500.00Feb 23, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.1KFeb 23, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$1.5KFeb 22, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$1000.00Feb 22, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$500.00Feb 22, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$1.0KFeb 11, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$4.0KFeb 11, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.4KJan 24, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$476.86Jan 24, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$972.17Jan 24, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$502.85Jan 24, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$500.00Jan 24, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.85Jan 24, 01:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $902.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 22:50 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 03:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".