Infatuated-Executive
0xef4c184ef22aeaaf703d8f8d82fc205497d1221c
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$199.97
Total PnL
$-224.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?
202 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$199.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will knots flip bitcoin core by December 31?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
194 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-96.81
- NO
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?
55 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-27.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?$200.06May 18, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$69.54Mar 21, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$123.90Feb 18, 20:05 UTC
- SPLITWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$193.63Jan 31, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill knots flip bitcoin core by December 31?$199.80Jan 1, 00:24 UTC
- SPLITWill knots flip bitcoin core by December 31?$200.00Dec 14, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?$106.95Dec 14, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?$106.84Nov 30, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$106.84Nov 30, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$106.09Oct 28, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?$10.03Oct 28, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?$9.99Jul 31, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?$55.30Jul 31, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?$2.29May 31, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?$2.30May 31, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMMichigan State vs. Auburn$50.76May 31, 07:17 UTC
- SPLITWill Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?$55.30May 31, 07:16 UTC
- SPLITMichigan State vs. Auburn$50.76Mar 30, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?$6.79Mar 30, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?$6.80Mar 30, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $877.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 14:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.