Esteemed-Threat
0xef55d98030094e6729a4c11a8ccb77555e671b20
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$72.00
Total PnL
$-168.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US government shutdown in 2025?
72 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$72.00
$1.01
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?
545 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-117.00
- YES
US forces in Venezuela by November 30?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
67 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
32 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$10.00Nov 13, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$3.00Nov 13, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by November 30?$20.00Nov 13, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$20.00Nov 13, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?$15.00Oct 23, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?$102.00Oct 23, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$70.99Oct 1, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash in 2025?$69.33Sep 30, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash in 2025?$65.00Sep 26, 00:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $41.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 26, 00:55 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 23:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.