0xef58d9e9d72384555d5d703858914ffee59a16fc
0xef58d9e9d72384555d5d703858914ffee59a16fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
15 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Trump talk to Jair Bolsonaro in November?
15 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- NO
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in November?
14 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?
14 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
13 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
12 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
12 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
12 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- NO
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
12 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".