0xef5e3d86de95ac879f41aee6a37374c7218482fa
0xef5e3d86de95ac879f41aee6a37374c7218482fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$59.22
Total PnL
$-86.57
Realised
$-43.05
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
16 shares @ 60.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$16.47
$6.47
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on March 8?
10 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$10.44
$0.44
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
5 shares @ 70.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.38
$1.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.25
$1.42
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on February 28?
4 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.66
$1.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 1?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$2.48
$0.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 1?
2 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$1.58
$0.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on February 28?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.45
$0.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on February 28?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.33
$0.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on March 8?$0.00Mar 13, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on March 8?$0.00Mar 13, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on March 8?$0.00Mar 13, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on March 8?$0.00Mar 13, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on March 8?$0.00Mar 13, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$10.00Mar 13, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on March 8?$0.00Mar 8, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on March 8?$10.00Mar 8, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on March 1?$1.00Feb 28, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 1?$1.61Feb 28, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 1?$1.04Feb 28, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on February 28?$1.00Feb 28, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on February 28?$1.00Feb 28, 19:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $2.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 20:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".