Pricey-Lieutenant
0xef622db5318960e141a21b7980d174a09d658260
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$74.29
Total PnL
$-40.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?
30 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$30.09
$0.09
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
22 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$22.16
$0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 13?
12 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$12.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on May 13?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
13 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
7 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
7 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
5 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on May 13?$10.00May 13, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 13?$12.00May 13, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?$30.00May 13, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$22.01May 13, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.09May 13, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.08May 13, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.09May 13, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or higher on April 25?$5.01May 12, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on April 25?$6.76May 12, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 25?$8.08May 12, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on April 25?$8.96May 12, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 25?$9.58May 12, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on April 25?$9.61May 12, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C on April 25?$10.29May 12, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on April 25?$10.45May 12, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 25?$11.01May 12, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on April 25?$12.03May 12, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 25?$12.21May 12, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on April 25?$13.25May 12, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or higher on April 25?$5.00Apr 25, 02:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $11.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.